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02/23/2010
Radian Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2009 Financial Results
"We achieved our most important goals in the quarter by improving Radian's liquidity position and effectively managing our capital," said Chief Executive Officer S. A. Ibrahim. "As a result of a series of strategic actions and better-than-expected operating results that reduced our estimated inter-company tax obligation for 2010, we now anticipate having excess liquidity through 2012. In addition, by actively managing our risk-to-capital ratio to 15.4 to 1, we have improved our foundation to continue writing new, high-quality mortgage insurance business."
Ibrahim added, "Our results illustrate the challenging macroeconomic environment affecting our company. However, we are encouraged by signs of improvement in our mortgage insurance business, including a lower rate of new delinquencies, both sequentially and year-over-year, in a quarter that is traditionally prone to seasonal increases."
FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
- Radian Guaranty Inc.'s risk-to-capital ratio was 15.4:1 at December 31, 2009, compared to a ratio of 16.1:1 at September 30, 2009, and 16.4:1 at December 31, 2008. While Radian Guaranty remains below the 25:1 risk-to-capital limit imposed by some states, the company has prepared, subject to final regulatory and GSE approval, its 50-state licensed mortgage insurance subsidiary, Amerin Guaranty, to write new business in those states if needed. Radian expects to continue writing high-quality mortgage insurance business, uninterrupted, for the foreseeable future.
- The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $459.9 million in the fourth quarter and $1.3 billion for the full year 2009 reflects higher delinquency counts and the continued aging of delinquencies, in addition to ongoing benefits associated with the company's various loss mitigation activities. As a result of the steady slowing of new delinquencies, Radian expects the delinquency level to stabilize throughout 2010, and decrease by the end of 2010.
- Consistent with its strategy of actively managing the legacy portfolio and reducing non-core risk, Radian completed a series of transactions in the quarter that reduced the company's risk in force in pool and modified pool insurance as well as NIMs, second-lien, international mortgage risk and financial guaranty credit default swaps (CDS).
- Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $426.8 million for the fourth quarter and $970.1 million for the full-year 2009. For the fourth quarter, excluding a $197.7 million impact from first-lien terminations and net of proceeds received from captive terminations of $25.2 million, claims paid were $254.3 million, which consisted of $239.5 million of first-liens and $14.8 million of second-liens. For the full-year 2009, excluding the impact of first- and second-lien terminations as well as proceeds received from captive terminations, claims paid were $818.0 million, compared to $916.1 million in 2008. For 2010, the company expects mortgage insurance claims paid to be approximately $1.5 billion.
- As a result of reduced mortgage industry origination volume and mortgage insurance penetration, new mortgage insurance written (NIW) was $2.4 billion in the quarter and $17.0 billion for the year. NIW in the quarter continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics, and the company maintained market share for the quarter and also for the year of more than 20 percent.
-
Radian Asset Assurance Inc., the company's principal financial
guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of
capital support for Radian Guaranty, the company's mortgage insurance
subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty
with cash infusions over time.
- As of December 31, 2009, Radian Asset had approximately $1.1 billion in statutory surplus with an additional $1.5 billion in claims-paying resources.
- In October, Radian Asset transferred $143 million of contingency reserves to surplus, which strengthened Radian Guaranty's statutory capital and positively impacted the company's risk-to-capital ratio.
CONFERENCE CALL
Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, February 23, 2010, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at www.radian.com. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1059 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0340 for international callers, using passcode 145249 or by referencing Radian.
A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 145249.
In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's Web site under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-earnings.
About Radian
Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk mitigation products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.com.
Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)
For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.
Exhibit A: | Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income | |
Exhibit B: | Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets | |
Exhibit C: | Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2009 | |
Exhibit D: | Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2008 | |
Exhibit E: | Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2009 | |
Exhibit F: | Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2008 | |
Exhibit G: | Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Exhibit H: | Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Exhibit I: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
New Insurance Written and Risk Written | ||
Exhibit J: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Insurance in Force and Risk in Force | ||
Exhibit K: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force | ||
Exhibit L: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Claims and Reserves | ||
Exhibit M: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Default Statistics | ||
Exhibit N: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency | ||
Exhibit O: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year | ||
Exhibit P: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Modified Pool | ||
Exhibit Q: | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Alt-A Risk in Force | ||
Exhibit R: | Financial Services Supplemental Information - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Exhibit S: | Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations - | |
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||||||
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit A | ||||||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | |||||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||||||||||||
(In thousands, except per-share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 163,251 | $ | 147,467 | $ | 443,848 | (1) | $ | 816,869 | |||||||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 211,570 | $ | 231,044 | $ | 825,901 | $ | 971,820 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income | 50,624 | 66,711 | 214,190 | 263,033 | ||||||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 142,913 | (217,879 | ) | 99,958 | 710,913 | |||||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | (7,390 | ) | (19,658 | ) | 168,572 | (94,300 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses | (8,396 | ) | (2,936 | ) | (9,269 | ) | (55,166 | ) | ||||||||||||
Losses recognized in other comprehensive loss | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (8,396 | ) | (2,936 | ) | (9,269 | ) | (55,166 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other income | 3,539 | 2,145 | 14,026 | 11,736 | ||||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 392,860 | 59,427 | 1,313,378 | 1,808,036 | ||||||||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 473,166 | 618,835 | 1,337,574 | 2,205,340 | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for premium deficiency | 16,065 | (244,512 | ) | (2) | (61,504 | ) | (108,785 | ) | (2) | |||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 8,920 | 15,768 | 63,034 | 136,396 | (3) | |||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 42,499 | 55,726 | 203,770 | 255,497 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest expense | 10,120 | 13,337 | 46,010 | 53,514 | ||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 550,770 | 459,154 | 1,588,884 | 2,541,962 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | 9,618 | 15,769 | 33,226 | 59,797 | ||||||||||||||||
Pretax loss | (148,292 | ) | (383,958 | ) | (242,280 | ) | (674,129 | ) | ||||||||||||
Income tax benefit | (56,425 | ) | (133,566 | ) | (94,401 | ) | (263,550 | ) | ||||||||||||
Net loss | $ | (91,867 | ) | $ | (250,392 | ) | $ | (147,879 | ) | $ | (410,579 | ) | ||||||||
Diluted net loss per share (4) | $ | (1.12 | ) | $ | (3.11 | ) | $ | (1.80 | ) | $ | (5.12 | ) | ||||||||
(1) Includes the reversal of $185.6 million of premiums written related to the Ambac Commutation in our Financial Guaranty segment. | ||||||||||||||||||||
(2) Includes $(150.1) million for first-lien mortgages and $(94.4) million for second-lien mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2008 and $(108.8) million for second-lien mortgages for the year ended December 31, 2008. All 2009 amounts relate to second-lien mortgages. | ||||||||||||||||||||
(3) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization for the year ended December 31, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008. | ||||||||||||||||||||
(4) Weighted average shares outstanding (In thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Average common shares outstanding | 81,926 | 80,642 | 81,937 | 80,258 | ||||||||||||||||
Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding | 81,926 | 80,642 | 81,937 | 80,258 | ||||||||||||||||
For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian's (RDN) website.
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets | ||||||||
Exhibit B | ||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||
(In thousands, except per-share data) | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||
Assets: | ||||||||
Cash and investments | $ | 6,214,376 | $ | 6,060,601 | ||||
Investments in affiliates | 121,480 | 99,712 | ||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 160,281 | 160,526 | ||||||
Prepaid federal income taxes | - | 248,828 | ||||||
Derivative assets | 68,534 | 179,515 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes, net | 440,948 | 446,102 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverables | 628,572 | 492,359 | ||||||
Other assets | 442,115 | 428,476 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 8,076,306 | $ | 8,116,119 | ||||
Liabilities and stockholders' equity: | ||||||||
Unearned premiums | $ | 823,621 | $ | 916,724 | ||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,578,982 | 3,224,542 | ||||||
Reserve for premium deficiency | 25,357 | 86,861 | ||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings | 698,222 | 857,802 | ||||||
Variable interest entity debt | 296,080 | 160,035 | ||||||
Derivative liabilities | 238,697 | 519,260 | ||||||
Other liabilities | 410,353 | 320,185 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 6,071,312 | 6,085,409 | ||||||
Common stock | 100 | 98 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 473,759 | 462,647 | ||||||
Retained earnings | 1,602,143 | 1,766,946 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | (71,008 | ) | (198,981 | ) | ||||
Total common stockholders' equity | 2,004,994 | 2,030,710 | ||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | $ | 8,076,306 | $ | 8,116,119 | ||||
Book value per share | $ | 24.22 | $ | 25.06 |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit C | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 164,198 | $ | (947 | ) | $ | - | $ | 163,251 | |||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 189,634 | $ | 21,936 | $ | - | $ | 211,570 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 32,406 | 18,217 | 1 | 50,624 | ||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 14,027 | 128,886 | - | 142,913 | ||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | 1,365 | (8,755 | ) | - | (7,390 | ) | ||||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (8,396 | ) | - | - | (8,396 | ) | ||||||||||
Other income | 2,393 | 1,078 | 68 | 3,539 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 231,429 | 161,362 | 69 | 392,860 | ||||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 459,853 | 13,313 | - | 473,166 | ||||||||||||
Provision for premium deficiency | 16,065 | - | - | 16,065 | ||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 5,231 | 3,689 | - | 8,920 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 29,763 | 12,604 | 132 | 42,499 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 3,320 | 6,800 | - | 10,120 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 514,232 | 36,406 | 132 | 550,770 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | - | - | 9,618 | 9,618 | ||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (282,803 | ) | 124,956 | 9,555 | (148,292 | ) | ||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) provision | (103,408 | ) | 43,637 | 3,346 | (56,425 | ) | ||||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (179,395 | ) | $ | 81,319 | $ | 6,209 | $ | (91,867 | ) | ||||||
Cash and investments | $ | 3,775,682 | $ | 2,438,694 | $ | - | $ | 6,214,376 | ||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 35,854 | 124,427 | - | 160,281 | ||||||||||||
Total assets | 4,968,963 | 2,985,919 | 121,424 | 8,076,306 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums | 240,346 | 583,275 | - | 823,621 | ||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,450,538 | 128,444 | - | 3,578,982 | ||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities | - | 238,697 | - | 238,697 |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended December 31, 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit D | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 188,368 | $ | (40,901 | ) | $ | - | $ | 147,467 | |||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 203,213 | $ | 27,831 | $ | - | $ | 231,044 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 38,804 | 27,907 | - | 66,711 | ||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | (3,391 | ) | (214,488 | ) | - | (217,879 | ) | |||||||||
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments | (14,923 | ) | (4,765 | ) | 30 | (19,658 | ) | |||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (1,999 | ) | (937 | ) | - | (2,936 | ) | |||||||||
Other income | 2,082 | 63 | - | 2,145 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 223,786 | (164,389 | ) | 30 | 59,427 | |||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 551,284 | 67,551 | - | 618,835 | ||||||||||||
Provision for premium deficiency | (244,512 | ) | - | - | (244,512 | ) | ||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 6,630 | 9,138 | - | 15,768 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 28,731 | 26,867 | 128 | 55,726 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 6,482 | 6,855 | - | 13,337 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 348,615 | 110,411 | 128 | 459,154 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | - | 16 | 15,753 | 15,769 | ||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (124,829 | ) | (274,784 | ) | 15,655 | (383,958 | ) | |||||||||
Income tax (benefit) provision | (47,784 | ) | (91,572 | ) | 5,790 | (133,566 | ) | |||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (77,045 | ) | $ | (183,212 | ) | $ | 9,865 | $ | (250,392 | ) | |||||
Cash and investments | $ | 3,508,018 | $ | 2,552,583 | $ | - | $ | 6,060,601 | ||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 21,286 | 139,240 | - | 160,526 | ||||||||||||
Total assets | 4,800,708 | 3,151,695 | 163,716 | 8,116,119 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums | 336,126 | 580,598 | - | 916,724 | ||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 2,989,994 | 234,548 | - | 3,224,542 | ||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities | 161,839 | 357,421 | - | 519,260 |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | |||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | |||||||||||||||||
Year Ended December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||
Exhibit E | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | |||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | |||||||||||||
Revenues: | |||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 630,076 | $ | (186,228 | ) | $ | - | $ | 443,848 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 724,423 | $ | 101,478 | $ | - | $ | 825,901 | |||||||||
Net investment income | 129,871 | 84,315 | 4 | 214,190 | |||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | (14,428 | ) | 114,386 | - | 99,958 | ||||||||||||
Net gains on other financial instruments | 65,615 | 102,957 | - | 168,572 | |||||||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (9,246 | ) | (23 | ) | - | (9,269 | ) | ||||||||||
Other income | 12,258 | 1,394 | 374 | 14,026 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues | 908,493 | 404,507 | 378 | 1,313,378 | |||||||||||||
Expenses: | |||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 1,300,827 | 36,747 | - | 1,337,574 | |||||||||||||
Provision for premium deficiency | (61,504 | ) | - | - | (61,504 | ) | |||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 27,563 | 35,471 | - | 63,034 | |||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 140,487 | 67,223 | (3,940 | ) | 203,770 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 15,372 | 30,638 | - | 46,010 | |||||||||||||
Total expenses | 1,422,745 | 170,079 | (3,940 | ) | 1,588,884 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | - | - | 33,226 | 33,226 | |||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (514,252 | ) | 234,428 | 37,544 | (242,280 | ) | |||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) provision | (176,456 | ) | 68,641 | 13,414 | (94,401 | ) | |||||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (337,796 | ) | $ | 165,787 | $ | 24,130 | $ | (147,879 | ) |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||||||
Year Ended December 31, 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit F | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 787,232 | $ | 29,637 | $ | - | $ | 816,869 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 808,781 | $ | 163,039 | $ | - | $ | 971,820 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 154,607 | 108,412 | 14 | 263,033 | ||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 102,157 | 608,756 | - | 710,913 | ||||||||||||
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments | (62,906 | ) | (31,544 | ) | 150 | (94,300 | ) | |||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (20,230 | ) | (34,936 | ) | - | (55,166 | ) | |||||||||
Other income | 11,133 | 300 | 303 | 11,736 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 993,542 | 814,027 | 467 | 1,808,036 | ||||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 2,090,845 | 114,495 | - | 2,205,340 | ||||||||||||
Provision for premium deficiency | (108,785 | ) | - | - | (108,785 | ) | ||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 89,103 | 47,293 | - | 136,396 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 155,375 | 99,509 | 613 | 255,497 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 27,622 | 25,643 | 249 | 53,514 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 2,254,160 | 286,940 | 862 | 2,541,962 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | - | 16 | 59,781 | 59,797 | ||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (1,260,618 | ) | 527,103 | 59,386 | (674,129 | ) | ||||||||||
Income tax (benefit) provision | (475,970 | ) | 187,965 | 24,455 | (263,550 | ) | ||||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (784,648 | ) | $ | 339,138 | $ | 34,931 | $ | (410,579 | ) |
Radian Group Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information | |||||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit G | |||||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned: | |||||||||||||||||||
Public finance direct | $ | 14,215 | $ | 12,997 | $ | 49,965 | $ | 56,191 | |||||||||||
Public finance reinsurance | 5,935 | 24,082 | 44,232 | 89,227 | |||||||||||||||
Structured direct | 1,208 | 3,207 | 6,364 | 14,418 | |||||||||||||||
Structured reinsurance | 584 | 4,527 | 15,714 | 19,690 | |||||||||||||||
Trade credit reinsurance | 17 | 162 | 191 | 657 | |||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned - insurance | 21,959 | 44,975 | 116,466 | 180,183 | |||||||||||||||
Impact of commutations (1) | (23 | ) | (17,144 | ) | (14,988 | ) | (17,144 | ) | |||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | $ | 21,936 | $ | 27,831 | $ | 101,478 | $ | 163,039 | |||||||||||
Refundings included in earned premium | $ | 8,913 | $ | 19,443 | $ | 40,989 | $ | 75,090 | |||||||||||
Claims paid: | |||||||||||||||||||
Trade credit reinsurance | $ | (136 | ) | $ | 2,008 | $ | 776 | $ | 3,440 | ||||||||||
Financial Guaranty | 10,258 | 14,932 | 134,019 | (2) | 128,972 |
(3) |
|||||||||||||
Total | $ | 10,122 | $ | 16,940 | $ | 134,795 | $ | 132,412 | |||||||||||
Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of the accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts on January 1, 2009: |
|||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||
Increase in unearned premiums | $ | (292.8 | ) | ||||||
Increase in premiums receivable | 161.4 | ||||||||
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs | 66.0 | ||||||||
Decrease in reserve for losses and LAE | 8.2 | ||||||||
Decrease in deferred taxes, net | 20.2 | ||||||||
Increase in premium taxes payable | (0.6 | ) | |||||||
Decrease in equity | $ | (37.6 | ) | ||||||
Balance Sheet impact of Ambac Commutation in Q3 2009: |
|||||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||||
Decrease in: | |||||||||
Cash and investments | $ | 100.0 | |||||||
Premiums receivable | 93.2 | ||||||||
Unearned premiums | 185.6 | ||||||||
Reserve for losses and LAE | 53.9 | ||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
46.3 |
(1) |
Amounts recorded related to the recaptures of previously ceded business by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty insurance business. |
|
(2) |
Includes $53.9 million related to Ambac Commutation. |
|
(3) |
Includes a $100 million payment related to one CDO of ABS transaction that was fully reserved for in 2007. |
Radian Group Inc. | |||||||
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information | |||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | |||||||
Exhibit H | |||||||
($ in thousands, except ratios) | December 31 | December 31 | |||||
2009 | 2008 | ||||||
Statutory Information: | |||||||
Capital and surplus | $ | 1,062,637 | $ | 968,197 | |||
Contingency reserve | 366,108 | 515,023 | |||||
Qualified statutory capital | 1,428,745 | 1,483,220 | |||||
Unearned premium reserve | 595,819 | 729,274 | |||||
Loss and loss expense reserve | 128,754 | 82,340 | |||||
Total statutory policyholders' reserves | 2,153,318 | 2,294,834 | |||||
Present value of installment premiums | 260,662 | 380,666 | |||||
Soft capital facilities | 150,000 | 150,000 | |||||
Total statutory claims paying resources | $ | 2,563,980 | $ | 2,825,500 | |||
Net debt service outstanding | $ | 110,207,923 | $ | 138,430,925 | |||
Capital leverage ratio (1) | 77 | 93 | |||||
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | 43 | 49 | |||||
Net par outstanding by product: | |||||||
Public finance direct | $ | 17,536,616 | $ | 17,836,221 | |||
Public finance reinsurance | 24,180,588 | 31,578,163 | |||||
Structured direct | 43,528,366 | 46,001,355 | |||||
Structured reinsurance | 2,174,433 | 5,310,004 | |||||
Total | $ | 87,420,003 | (3) | $ | 100,725,743 | ||
Reserve for losses and LAE-GAAP Basis: | |||||||
Financial Guaranty | $ | 121,833 | $ | 219,671 | |||
Trade Credit | 6,611 | 14,877 | |||||
Total | $ | 128,444 | $ | 234,548 | |||
(1) |
The capital leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital. |
|
(2) |
The claims paying leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by total statutory claims paying resources. |
|
(3) |
Reduction due to $9.8 billion of par that was commuted in connection with the Ambac Commutation in July 2009. Also included in public finance net par outstanding is $2.2 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bondholders. The accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk. |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit I | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Primary new insurance written |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,025 | 99.7 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,265 | 96.2 | % | ||||||||||||
Structured | - | - | 14 | 0.3 | % | - | - | 1,248 | 3.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,039 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 32,513 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 2,412 | 99.9 | % | $ | 5,003 | 99.6 | % | $ | 16,942 | 99.8 | % | $ | 29,359 | 93.9 | % | ||||||||||||
Alt-A | - | - | 16 | 0.3 | % | 11 | 0.1 | % | 1,170 | 3.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 2 | 0.1 | % | 6 | 0.1 | % | 16 | 0.1 | % | 736 | 2.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,025 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,265 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | - | - | $ | 13 | 92.9 | % | $ | - | - | $ | 1,245 | 99.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Alt-A | - | - | 1 | 7.1 | % | - | - | 3 | 0.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Structured | $ | - | - | $ | 14 | 100.0 | % | $ | - | - | $ | 1,248 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 2,412 | 99.9 | % | $ | 5,016 | 99.6 | % | $ | 16,942 | 99.8 | % | $ | 30,604 | 94.1 | % | ||||||||||||
Alt-A | - | - | 17 | 0.3 | % | 11 | 0.1 | % | 1,173 | 3.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 2 | 0.1 | % | 6 | 0.1 | % | 16 | 0.1 | % | 736 | 2.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,039 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 32,513 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary new insurance written by FICO score |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 1,829 | 75.8 | % | $ | 2,880 | 57.3 | % | $ | 12,293 | 72.5 | % | $ | 14,792 | 47.3 | % | ||||||||||||
680-739 |
581 | 24.1 | % | 1,725 | 34.3 | % | 4,403 | 25.9 | % | 11,454 | 36.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
620-679 |
4 | 0.1 | % | 419 | 8.4 | % | 272 | 1.6 | % | 4,642 | 14.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
<=619 | - | - | 1 |
- |
% | 1 | - | 377 | 1.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,025 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,265 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | - | - | $ | 10 | 71.4 | % | $ | - | - | $ | 790 | 63.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
680-739 |
- | - | 4 | 28.6 | % | - | - | 441 | 35.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
620-679 |
- | - | - |
- |
% | - | - | 17 | 1.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Structured | $ | - | - | $ | 14 | 100.0 | % | $ | - | - | $ | 1,248 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Total |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 1,829 | 75.8 | % | $ | 2,890 | 57.4 | % | $ | 12,293 | 72.5 | % | $ | 15,582 | 47.9 | % | ||||||||||||
680-739 |
581 | 24.1 | % | 1,729 | 34.3 | % | 4,403 | 25.9 | % | 11,895 | 36.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
620-679 |
4 | 0.1 | % | 419 | 8.3 | % | 272 | 1.6 | % | 4,659 | 14.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
<=619 | - | - | 1 |
- |
% | 1 | - | 377 | 1.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 2,414 | 100.0 | % | $ | 5,039 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,969 | 100.0 | % | $ | 32,513 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Percentage of primary new insurance written |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Refinances | 26 | % | 17 | % | 41 | % | 30 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% LTV and above | 0.2 | % | 1 | % | 0.1 | % | 11 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
ARMs | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less than 5 years | 0.1 | % | 1 | % | 0.1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 years and longer | 5.8 | % | 3 | % | 1.6 | % | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Primary risk written |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 533 | 100.0 | % | $ | 1,177 | 99.8 | % | $ | 3,663 | 100.0 | % | $ | 7,494 | 95.9 | % | ||||||||||||
Structured | - | - | 2 | 0.2 | % | - | - | 318 | 4.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 533 | 100.0 | % | $ | 1,179 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,663 | 100.0 | % | $ | 7,812 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||||
Exhibit J | ||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||
Primary insurance in force |
||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 121,596 | 84.3 | % | $ | 121,439 | 78.2 | % | ||||||
Structured | 22,672 | 15.7 | % | 33,800 | 21.8 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 144,268 | 100.0 | % | $ | 155,239 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Prime | $ | 111,398 | 77.2 | % | $ | 111,558 | 71.9 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 22,941 | 15.9 | % | 32,623 | 21.0 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 9,929 | 6.9 | % | 11,058 | 7.1 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 144,268 | 100.0 | % | $ | 155,239 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Primary risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 29,971 | 88.8 | % | $ | 30,388 | 86.9 | % | ||||||
Structured | 3,794 | 11.2 | % | 4,563 | 13.1 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 33,765 | 100.0 | % | $ | 34,951 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 25,036 | 83.5 | % | $ | 24,815 | 81.7 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 3,121 | 10.4 | % | 3,584 | 11.8 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 1,814 | 6.1 | % | 1,989 | 6.5 | % | ||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 29,971 | 100.0 | % | $ | 30,388 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 2,059 | 54.3 | % | $ | 2,390 | 52.4 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 1,083 | 28.5 | % | 1,412 | 30.9 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 652 | 17.2 | % | 761 | 16.7 | % | ||||||||
Total Structured | $ | 3,794 | 100.0 | % | $ | 4,563 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 27,095 | 80.2 | % | $ | 27,205 | 77.8 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 4,204 | 12.5 | % | 4,996 | 14.3 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 2,466 | 7.3 | % | 2,750 | 7.9 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 33,765 | 100.0 | % | $ | 34,951 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total primary risk in force by FICO score |
||||||||||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 10,526 | 35.1 | % | $ | 9,436 | 31.1 | % | ||||||
680-739 |
10,790 | 36.0 | % | 11,253 | 37.0 | % | ||||||||
620-679 |
7,329 | 24.5 | % | 8,195 | 27.0 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 1,326 | 4.4 | % | 1,504 | 4.9 | % | ||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 29,971 | 100.0 | % | $ | 30,388 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 1,036 | 27.3 | % | $ | 1,233 | 27.0 | % | ||||||
680-739 |
1,168 | 30.8 | % | 1,422 | 31.2 | % | ||||||||
620-679 |
990 | 26.1 | % | 1,205 | 26.4 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 600 | 15.8 | % | 703 | 15.4 | % | ||||||||
Total Structured | $ | 3,794 | 100.0 | % | $ | 4,563 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 11,562 | 34.3 | % | $ | 10,669 | 30.5 | % | ||||||
680-739 |
11,958 | 35.4 | % | 12,675 | 36.3 | % | ||||||||
620-679 |
8,319 | 24.6 | % | 9,400 | 26.9 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 1,926 | 5.7 | % | 2,207 | 6.3 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 33,765 | 100.0 | % | $ | 34,951 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Percentage of primary risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Refinances | 31 | % | 30 | % | ||||||||||
95.01% LTV and above | 21 | % | 22 | % | ||||||||||
ARMs | ||||||||||||||
Less than 5 years | 8 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||||
5 years and longer | 8 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||||
Pool risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,918 | 71.1 | % | $ | 2,090 | 70.8 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 246 | 9.1 | % | 291 | 9.9 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 534 | 19.8 | % | 569 | 19.3 | % | ||||||||
Total | $ | 2,698 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,950 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||
Exhibit K | ||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||
Total primary risk in force by LTV |
||||||||||||
85.00% and below | $ | 3,263 | 9.6 | % | $ | 3,598 | 10.3 | % | ||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 12,589 | 37.3 | % | 12,331 | 35.3 | % | ||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 10,996 | 32.6 | % | 11,217 | 32.1 | % | ||||||
95.01% and above | 6,917 | 20.5 | % | 7,805 | 22.3 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 33,765 | 100.0 | % | $ | 34,951 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Total primary risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 9,709 | 28.7 | % | $ | 11,526 | 33.0 | % | ||||
2006 |
4,390 | 13.0 | % | 5,196 | 14.9 | % | ||||||
2007 |
9,443 | 28.0 | % | 10,711 | 30.6 | % | ||||||
2008 |
6,725 | 19.9 | % | 7,518 | 21.5 | % | ||||||
2009 |
3,498 | 10.4 | % | - | - | |||||||
Total | $ | 33,765 | 100.0 | % | $ | 34,951 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Total pool risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 2,183 | 80.9 | % | $ | 2,402 | 81.4 | % | ||||
2006 |
236 | 8.7 | % | 252 | 8.6 | % | ||||||
2007 |
223 | 8.3 | % | 237 | 8.0 | % | ||||||
2008 |
56 | 2.1 | % | 59 | 2.0 | % | ||||||
Total pool risk in force | $ | 2,698 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,950 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Other risk in force |
||||||||||||
Second-lien | ||||||||||||
1st loss | $ | 147 | $ | 267 | ||||||||
2nd loss | 116 | 355 | ||||||||||
NIMs | 353 | 438 | ||||||||||
International | ||||||||||||
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | 257 | 413 | ||||||||||
Reinsurance | - | 153 | ||||||||||
Credit default swaps | 127 | 3,361 | ||||||||||
Other | ||||||||||||
Domestic credit default swaps | - | 132 | ||||||||||
Total other risk in force | $ | 1,000 | $ | 5,119 | ||||||||
Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only (1) | 15.4:1 | 16.4:1 | ||||||||||
(1) Starting June 30, 2009, risk in force on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established are deducted from total risk in force used for our risk to capital calculations. Risk to capital ratios for the prior periods have not been restated to conform with this presentation. |
Radian Group Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | |||||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit L | |||||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
Direct claims paid | |||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 122,004 | $ | 87,990 | $ | 368,820 | $ | 310,965 | |||||||||||
Alt-A | 70,295 | 58,262 | 219,544 | 210,700 | |||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 47,196 | 48,701 | 163,069 | 211,612 | |||||||||||||||
Second-lien and other | 14,849 | 44,778 | 66,584 | 182,872 | |||||||||||||||
Subtotal | 254,344 | 239,731 | 818,017 | 916,149 | |||||||||||||||
Impact of first-lien terminations | 197,692 | - | 197,692 | - | |||||||||||||||
Impact of captive terminations | (25,194 | ) | - | (132,941 | ) | - | |||||||||||||
Impact of second-lien terminations | - | - | 87,323 | - | |||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 426,842 | $ | 239,731 | $ | 970,091 | $ | 916,149 | |||||||||||
Average claim paid (1) | |||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 44.0 | $ | 43.4 | $ | 42.8 | $ | 40.9 | |||||||||||
Alt-A | 56.9 | 57.3 | 54.9 | 54.8 | |||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 39.8 | 40.4 | 39.1 | 39.0 | |||||||||||||||
Second-lien and other | 38.0 | 36.8 | 41.2 | 35.5 | |||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 45.5 | $ | 43.9 | $ | 44.5 | $ | 41.6 | |||||||||||
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | 242.5 | % | 268.4 | % | 179.6 | % | 250.4 | % | |||||||||||
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis | 18.5 | % | 17.2 | % | 23.2 | % | 29.3 | % | (2) | ||||||||||
261.0 | % | 285.6 | % | 202.8 | % | 279.7 | % | ||||||||||||
Reserve for losses by category | |||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,265,859 | $ | 829,097 | |||||||||||||||
Alt-A | 767,043 | 977,177 | |||||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 456,281 | 446,193 | |||||||||||||||||
Pool insurance | 295,996 | 107,441 | |||||||||||||||||
Second-lien | 43,579 | 136,591 | |||||||||||||||||
Other | 136 | 1,659 | |||||||||||||||||
Reserve for losses, net | 2,828,894 | 2,498,158 | |||||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable | 621,644 | (3) | 491,836 | ||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 3,450,538 | $ | 2,989,994 | |||||||||||||||
(1) Calculated without giving effect to the impact of first-lien, second-lien and captive terminations. |
(2) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008. |
(3) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($490 million) and Smart Home ($131 million). |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||
Exhibit M | ||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||
2009 | 2008 | |||
Default Statistics |
||||
Primary insurance: | ||||
Flow | ||||
Prime |
||||
Number of insured loans | 614,590 | 624,970 | ||
Number of loans in default | 78,130 | 44,575 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 12.71% | 7.13% | ||
Alt-A |
||||
Number of insured loans | 60,616 | 68,948 | ||
Number of loans in default | 22,177 | 16,959 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 36.59% | 24.60% | ||
A minus and below |
||||
Number of insured loans | 53,932 | 59,189 | ||
Number of loans in default | 20,911 | 15,768 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 38.77% | 26.64% | ||
Total Flow | ||||
Number of insured loans | 729,138 | 753,107 | ||
Number of loans in default | 121,218 | 77,302 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 16.62% | 10.26% | ||
Structured | ||||
Prime |
||||
Number of insured loans | 52,629 | 67,165 | ||
Number of loans in default | 7,520 | 6,692 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 14.29% | 9.96% | ||
Alt-A |
||||
Number of insured loans | 43,615 | 80,491 | ||
Number of loans in default | 15,295 | 18,747 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 35.07% | 23.29% | ||
A minus and below |
||||
Number of insured loans | 19,287 | 22,315 | ||
Number of loans in default | 7,965 | 7,812 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 41.30% | 35.01% | ||
Total Structured | ||||
Number of insured loans | 115,531 | 169,971 | ||
Number of loans in default | 30,780 | 33,251 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 26.64% | 19.56% | ||
Total Primary Insurance | ||||
Prime |
||||
Number of insured loans | 667,219 | 692,135 | ||
Number of loans in default | 85,650 | 51,267 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 12.84% | 7.41% | ||
Alt-A |
||||
Number of insured loans | 104,231 | 149,439 | ||
Number of loans in default | 37,472 | 35,706 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 35.95% | 23.89% | ||
A minus and below |
||||
Number of insured loans | 73,219 | 81,504 | ||
Number of loans in default | 28,876 | 23,580 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 39.44% | 28.93% | ||
Total Primary Insurance | ||||
Number of insured loans | 844,669 | 923,078 | ||
Number of loans in default (1) | 151,998 | 110,553 | ||
Percentage of loans in default | 17.99% | 11.98% | ||
Pool insurance: | ||||
Number of loans in default (2) | 36,397 | 32,677 | ||
(1) |
Includes an estimated 3,302 and 5,373 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible. |
|
(2) |
Includes an estimated 18,033 and 23,364 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible. |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit N | ||||||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | |||||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||||||||||||
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) |
||||||||||||||||||||
Primary and Pool Insurance | $ | 166,188 | $ | 181,173 | $ | 650,060 | $ | 759,943 | ||||||||||||
Second-lien | 709 | (1 | ) | 3,028 | (41 | ) | (1 | ) | 11,458 | |||||||||||
International | (2,699 | ) | (1 | ) | 4,167 | (19,943 | ) | (1 | ) | 15,831 | ||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Written - Insurance | $ | 164,198 | $ | 188,368 | $ | 630,076 | $ | 787,232 | ||||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) |
||||||||||||||||||||
Primary and Pool Insurance | $ | 185,306 | $ | 193,706 | $ | 703,076 | $ | 768,723 | ||||||||||||
Second-lien | 972 | 4,349 | 5,621 | 18,727 | ||||||||||||||||
International | 3,356 | 5,158 | 15,726 | 21,331 | ||||||||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Earned - Insurance | $ | 189,634 | $ | 203,213 | $ | 724,423 | $ | 808,781 | ||||||||||||
SMART HOME (In millions) |
||||||||||||||||||||
Ceded Premiums Written | $ | 2.9 | $ | 3.0 | $ | 10.9 | $ | 13.0 | ||||||||||||
Ceded Premiums Earned | $ | 2.9 | $ | 3.0 | $ | 10.9 | $ | 13.0 | ||||||||||||
1st Lien Captives |
||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) | $ | 26.8 | $ | 33.9 | $ | 129.8 | $ | 138.3 | ||||||||||||
% of total premiums | 12.5 | % | 14.7 | % | 15.4 | % | 15.0 | % | ||||||||||||
NIW subject to captives (In millions) | $ | 39.9 | $ | 1,556.8 | $ | 1,655.6 | $ | 11,824.9 | ||||||||||||
% of primary NIW | 1.7 | % | 30.9 | % | 9.8 | % | 36.4 | % | ||||||||||||
IIF included in captives (2) | 29.3 | % | 34.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
RIF included in captives (2) | 31.5 | % | 43.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Persistency (twelve months ended December 31) | 82.0 | % | 85.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||
SMART HOME | ||||||||||||||||||||
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2) | 3.4 | % | 3.7 | % |
(1) |
Reflects the impact of second-lien and international terminations. |
|
(2) |
Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Radian Group Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit O | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) |
2009 |
2008 (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book Year (2): | Original Book RIF | Progression to Attachment Point | Gross Current RIF | Ceded Current RIF(3) | Net Current RIF | Ever-to-Date Incurred Losses | Reinsurance Benefit (4) | Gross Current RIF | Ceded Current RIF(3) | Net Current RIF | Ever-to-Date Incurred Losses | Reinsurance Benefit (4) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-2006 | 0-50 | % | $ | 375 | $ | 62 | $ | 313 | $ | 142 | $ | 1,120 | $ | 558 | $ | 562 | $ | 239 | |||||||||||||||||||
Pre-2006 | 50-75 | % | 325 | 185 | 140 | 86 | 942 | 349 | 593 | 142 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-2006 | 75-99 | % | 557 | 231 | 326 | 127 | 1,084 | 397 | 687 | 160 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-2006 | Attached | 1,673 | 452 | 1,221 | 381 | $ | 139 | 1,355 | 237 | 1,118 | 184 | $ | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-2006 Total | $ | 20,988 | $ | 2,930 | $ | 930 | $ | 2,000 | $ | 736 | $ | 139 | $ | 4,501 | $ | 1,541 | $ | 2,960 | $ | 725 | $ | 75 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | 0-50 | % | $ | 1 | $ | - | $ | 1 | $ | - | $ | 32 | $ | 2 | $ | 30 | $ | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
2006 | 50-75 | % | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 62 | 4 | 58 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006 | 75-99 | % | 13 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 310 | 42 | 268 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006 | Attached | 1,695 | 242 | 1,453 | 355 | $ | 163 | 2,074 | 270 | 1,804 | 290 | $ | 161 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006 Total | $ | 2,769 | $ | 1,725 | $ | 244 | $ | 1,481 | $ | 357 | $ | 163 | $ | 2,478 | $ | 318 | $ | 2,160 | $ | 312 | $ | 161 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | 0-50 | % | $ | 1 | $ | - | $ | 1 | $ | - | $ | 31 | $ | 2 | $ | 29 | $ | - | |||||||||||||||||||
2007 | 50-75 | % | 12 | 1 | 11 | - | 225 | 12 | 213 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2007 | 75-99 | % | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 71 | 7 | 64 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2007 | Attached | 3,446 | 391 | 3,055 | 437 | $ | 191 | 4,329 | 454 | 3,875 | 350 | $ | 147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2007 Total | $ | 4,311 | $ | 3,474 | $ | 393 | $ | 3,081 | $ | 438 | $ | 191 | $ | 4,656 | $ | 475 | $ | 4,181 | $ | 361 | $ | 147 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | 0-50 | % | $ | 298 | $ | 22 | $ | 276 | $ | 6 | $ | 2,167 | $ | 197 | $ | 1,970 | $ | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 50-75 | % | 149 | 8 | 141 | 6 | 42 | 4 | 38 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 75-99 | % | 1,454 | 166 | 1,288 | 56 | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 | Attached | 159 | 14 | 145 | 19 | $ | 11 | 190 | 15 | 175 | 16 | $ | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 Total | $ | 2,386 | $ | 2,060 | $ | 210 | $ | 1,850 | $ | 87 | $ | 11 | $ | 2,399 | $ | 216 | $ | 2,183 | $ | 42 | $ | 9 | |||||||||||||||
2009 |
0-50 | % | $ | 284 | $ | 12 | $ | 272 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | |||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 50-75 | % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 75-99 | % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009 | Attached | - | - | - | - | $ | - | - | - | - | - | $ | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009 Total | $ | 298 | $ | 284 | $ | 12 | $ | 272 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | |||||||||||||||
Quota Share | 0-50 | % | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | |||||||||||||||||||
Quota Share | 50-75 | % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quota Share | 75-99 | % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quota Share | Attached | 102 | 33 | 69 | 37 | $ | 17 | 116 | 37 | 79 | 27 | $ | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quota Share Total | $ | 313 | $ | 102 | $ | 33 | $ | 69 | $ | 37 | $ | 17 | $ | 116 | $ | 37 | $ | 79 | $ | 27 | $ | 12 | |||||||||||||||
Total Captive (Including Quota Share) | $ | 31,065 | $ | 10,575 | $ | 1,822 | $ | 8,753 | $ | 1,655 | $ | 521 | $ | 14,150 | $ | 2,587 | $ | 11,563 | $ | 1,467 | $ | 404 | |||||||||||||||
SmartHome | 0-50 | % | $ | 32 | $ | 14 | $ | 18 | $ | 12 | $ | 117 | $ | 51 | $ | 66 | $ | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||
SmartHome | 50-75 | % | 71 | 29 | 42 | 23 | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SmartHome | 75-99 | % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SmartHome | Attached | 1,029 | 492 | 537 | 435 | $ | 143 | 1,188 | 521 | 667 | 346 | $ | 91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total SmartHome | $ | 3,900 | $ | 1,132 | $ | 535 | $ | 597 | $ | 470 | $ | 143 | $ | 1,305 | $ | 572 | $ | 733 | $ | 373 | $ | 91 |
(1) |
Data is presented in the aggregate for all trusts for captives with risk in force at each period end only. Actual trust attachment points and exit points vary by individual contract. The attachment point is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves. |
|
(2) |
Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions. |
|
(3) |
Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms. |
|
(4) |
Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust for captives with risk in force at period end only. Reinsurance benefit at December 31, 2009 excludes $71 million of recoveries recognized from the terminations of certain captive reinsurance agreements during the year. |
|
(5) |
Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented. |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||
Modified Pool | ||||||||||||
Exhibit P | ||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||
Primary risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 243 | 41.7 | % | $ | 295 | 34.8 | % | ||||
2006 |
98 | 16.8 | % | 211 | 24.9 | % | ||||||
2007 |
235 | 40.3 | % | 333 | 39.3 | % | ||||||
2008 |
7 | 1.2 | % | 8 | 1.0 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 583 | 100.0 | % | $ | 847 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Primary risk in force by product |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 104 | 17.8 | % | $ | 154 | 18.2 | % | ||||
Alt-A | 456 | 78.2 | % | 668 | 78.9 | % | ||||||
A minus and below | 23 | 4.0 | % | 25 | 2.9 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 583 | 100.0 | % | $ | 847 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Primary insurance in force by product |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,508 | 16.0 | % | $ | 3,141 | 17.0 | % | ||||
Alt-A | 7,649 | 81.2 | % | 15,027 | 81.4 | % | ||||||
A minus and below | 258 | 2.8 | % | 294 | 1.6 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 9,415 | 100.0 | % | $ | 18,462 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Default Statistics: |
||||||||||||
Primary Insurance: | ||||||||||||
Total modified pool |
||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 42,509 | 86,350 | ||||||||||
Number of loans in default | 12,677 | 16,725 | ||||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 29.82 | % | 19.37 | % |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||
ALT-A | ||||||||||||
Exhibit Q | ||||||||||||
December 31 | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||
Primary risk in force by FICO score |
||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 1,037 | 24.7 | % | $ | 1,227 | 24.6 | % | ||||
680-739 |
2,028 | 48.2 | % | 2,399 | 48.0 | % | ||||||
660-679 |
610 | 14.5 | % | 734 | 14.7 | % | ||||||
620-659 |
500 | 11.9 | % | 603 | 12.1 | % | ||||||
<=619 | 29 | 0.7 | % | 33 | 0.6 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 4,204 | 100.0 | % | $ | 4,996 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Primary risk in force by LTV |
||||||||||||
85.00% and below | $ | 977 | 23.2 | % | $ | 1,275 | 25.5 | % | ||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 1,805 | 42.9 | % | 2,077 | 41.6 | % | ||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 1,125 | 26.8 | % | 1,295 | 25.9 | % | ||||||
95.01% and above | 297 | 7.1 | % | 349 | 7.0 | % | ||||||
Total | $ | 4,204 | 100.0 | % | $ | 4,996 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Primary risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 1,363 | 32.4 | % | $ | 1,583 | 31.6 | % | ||||
2006 |
889 | 21.2 | % | 1,109 | 22.2 | % | ||||||
2007 |
1,720 | 40.9 | % | 2,051 | 41.1 | % | ||||||
2008 |
231 | 5.5 | % | 253 | 5.1 | % | ||||||
2009 |
1 | - | - | - | ||||||||
Total | $ | 4,204 | 100.0 | % | $ | 4,996 | 100.0 | % |
Radian Group Inc. | |||||||||||||||||
Financial Services Supplemental Information | |||||||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||
Exhibit R | |||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2009 | 2008 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||||||||
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information | |||||||||||||||||
Sherman | |||||||||||||||||
Balance, beginning of period | $ | 111,979 | $ | 87,217 | $ | 99,656 | $ | 104,315 | |||||||||
Net income for period | 9,618 | 15,754 | 33,226 | 59,782 | |||||||||||||
Dividends received | - | - | (11,040 | ) | (35,460 | ) | |||||||||||
Other comprehensive loss |
(173 | ) | (3,315 | ) | (418 | ) | (3,195 | ) | |||||||||
Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest | - | - | - | (25,786 | ) | ||||||||||||
Balance, end of period | $ | 121,424 | $ | 99,656 | $ | 121,424 | $ | 99,656 | |||||||||
Portfolio Information: | |||||||||||||||||
Sherman | |||||||||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 1,913,296 | $ | 2,355,660 | |||||||||||||
Net revenues | $ | 277,611 | $ | 345,914 | $ | 1,245,686 | $ | 1,504,368 |
Radian Group Inc. | ||||||||||||
Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations | ||||||||||||
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009 | ||||||||||||
Exhibit S | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | ||||||||||||
As Reported | Impact of | Prior to | ||||||||||
December 31 | Mortgage Insurance | Mortgage Insurance | ||||||||||
2009 | Terminations | Terminations | ||||||||||
Primary insurance in force |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 111,398 | $ | 1,376 | $ | 112,774 | ||||||
Alt-A | 22,941 | 6,094 | 29,035 | |||||||||
A minus and below | 9,929 | 4 | 9,933 | |||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 144,268 | $ | 7,474 | $ | 151,742 | ||||||
Primary risk in force |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 27,095 | $ | 43 | $ | 27,138 | ||||||
Alt-A | 4,204 | 194 | 4,398 | |||||||||
A minus and below | 2,466 | - | 2,466 | |||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 33,765 | $ | 237 | $ | 34,002 | ||||||
Pool risk in force |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,918 | $ | 26 | $ | 1,944 | ||||||
Alt-A | 246 | - | 246 | |||||||||
A minus and below | 534 | 4 | 538 | |||||||||
Total Pool | $ | 2,698 | $ | 30 | $ | 2,728 | ||||||
Primary insurance in force-modified pool (1) |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,508 | $ | 1,376 | $ | 2,884 | ||||||
Alt-A | 7,649 | 6,094 | 13,743 | |||||||||
A minus and below | 258 | 4 | 262 | |||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 9,415 | $ | 7,474 | $ | 16,889 | ||||||
Primary risk in force-modified pool (1) |
||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 104 | $ | 43 | $ | 147 | ||||||
Alt-A | 456 | 194 | 650 | |||||||||
A minus and below | 23 | - | 23 | |||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 583 | $ | 237 | $ | 820 | ||||||
Default Statistics: |
||||||||||||
Total Primary Insurance | ||||||||||||
Prime |
||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 667,219 | 7,259 | 674,478 | |||||||||
Number of loans in default | 85,650 | 1,671 | 87,321 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 12.84 | % | 23.02 | % | 12.95 | % | ||||||
Alt-A |
||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 104,231 | 29,553 | 133,784 | |||||||||
Number of loans in default | 37,472 | 10,894 | 48,366 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 35.95 | % | 36.86 | % | 36.15 | % | ||||||
A minus and below |
||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 73,219 | 31 | 73,250 | |||||||||
Number of loans in default | 28,876 | 10 | 28,886 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 39.44 | % | 32.26 | % | 39.43 | % | ||||||
Total Primary Insurance | ||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 844,669 | 36,843 | 881,512 | |||||||||
Number of loans in default | 151,998 | 12,575 | 164,573 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 17.99 | % | 34.13 | % | 18.67 | % | ||||||
Total modified pool insurance (1) | ||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 42,509 | 36,840 | 79,349 | |||||||||
Number of loans in default | 12,677 | 12,573 | 25,250 | |||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 29.82 | % | 34.13 | % | 31.82 | % | ||||||
Total pool insurance | ||||||||||||
Number of loans in default | 36,397 | 2,311 | 38,708 | |||||||||
(1) Included in primary insurance. |
Forward-Looking Statements
Some of the statements in this release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Generally, words such as "anticipate," "may," "will," "could," "should," "would," "expect," "intend," "plan," "goal," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," or other variations on these and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are only predictions and, as such, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions as to future events or our future financial performance that may not prove to be accurate. These statements speak only as of the date of this news release, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from those projected in such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the following:
- changes in general financial and political conditions, such as the failure of the U.S. economy to recover from the most recent recession or the U.S. economy reentering a recessionary period following a brief period of stabilization or even growth, the lack of meaningful liquidity in the capital markets or in the credit markets, a prolonged period of high unemployment rates and limited home price appreciation or further depreciation (which has resulted in some borrowers voluntarily defaulting on their mortgages when their mortgage balances exceed the value of their homes), changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;
- catastrophic events or further economic changes in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;
- our ability to successfully execute upon our capital plan for our mortgage insurance business (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and the long-term liquidity needs of our holding company;
- a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the decrease in housing demand throughout the U.S.;
- our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of ongoing losses in this business and continued deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio which, in the absence of new capital, may depend on our ability to execute strategies for which regulatory and other approvals are required and may not be obtained;
- our ability to continue to effectively mitigate our mortgage insurance losses;
- reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values do not appreciate or continue to decline;
- the negative impact our increased levels of insurance rescissions and claim denials may have on our relationships with customers, including potentially heightened disputes and litigation;
- the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;
- disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;
- the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;
- the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A ("Alt-A") and subprime loans, and of adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages;
- a decrease in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies;
- an increase in the risk profile of our existing mortgage insurance portfolio due to mortgage refinancing in the current housing market;
- further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.);
- heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans' Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies);
- changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;
- changes to the current system of housing finance, including the possibility of a new system in which private mortgage insurers are not required or its services are significantly limited in scope;
- the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, tax, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation or regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;
- the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or premium deficiencies for our mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative instruments in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;
- the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio;
- volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiency in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;
- changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;
- legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through our tax- and expense-sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and
- our investment in, and other arrangements with, Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively affected in the current credit environment if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding for its business activities or remain in compliance with its credit facilities.
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should review the risks described under Item 1A, "Risk Factors" under our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q/A for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 and subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.
Radian
Emily Riley, 215-231-1035
emily.riley@radian.com