News
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02/23/2012
Radian Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Financial Results
– Risk-to-capital ratio of 21.5:1 with approximately
–Writes
“Our financial results in the fourth quarter and for the full-year 2011
were impacted by the challenges of our legacy portfolio as well as the
macroeconomic environment,” said
Mr. Ibrahim continued, “Over the past two years, we have taken
meaningful actions to improve the financial flexibility and the
operating performance of the company. We have positioned Radian with a
growing and diversified customer base to capture more high-quality
mortgage insurance business. We are off to a strong start in 2012 with
CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY UPDATE
- | Radian Guaranty’s risk-to-capital ratio was 21.5:1 as of December 31, 2011, compared to 21.4:1 at September 30, 2011, and 16.8:1 at December 31, 2010. A $100 million capital contribution from Radian Group is included in Radian Guaranty’s December 31, 2011, statutory capital position. | ||
- | Radian Group maintains approximately $480 million of currently available liquidity. Earlier today, the company announced the commencement of a “modified Dutch auction” tender offer, to repurchase a portion of its $250 million of debt maturing in February 2013 at a discount to face value. | ||
- | In the event Radian Guaranty is no longer in compliance with the risk-based capital requirements of certain states, the company is preparing to continue writing new business in those states through state-specific waivers or similar relief, or by using Radian Mortgage Assurance Inc. (RMAI), a wholly owned subsidiary of Radian Guaranty. Radian is in the process of finalizing agreements with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to use RMAI as an eligible mortgage insurer, subject to certain conditions, and is expecting to announce the details of those agreements in the near term. In addition to the $17 million of existing capital in RMAI, Radian Group will contribute $50 million of additional capital to RMAI in the event that Radian Guaranty were to exceed a 25:1 risk-to-capital level. | ||
FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
-
New mortgage insurance written (NIW) increased to
$6.5 billion , compared to$4.1 billion in the third quarter and$3.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2010. In addition, the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) accounted for$656.8 million of insurance not included in Radian Guaranty’s NIW total for the quarter. NIW continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics, and the company held the leading position in the private mortgage insurance industry with an estimated 31 percent market share in the fourth quarter of 2011. Radian wrote an additional$2 billion in NIW inJanuary 2012 , compared to$1.1 billion inJanuary 2011 . -
The net loss for the fourth quarter was
$121.5 million .
- | The net loss was impacted by the pre-tax gain recognized on derivatives and other financial instruments of $102.2 million. The unrealized gain resulted mainly from a widening of Radian’s credit spread that reduced the fair value of the company’s derivative liabilities. | ||||||||
- | The net loss was also impacted by an income tax provision of $65.4 million. The income tax provision is due primarily to a re-measurement of the company’s uncertain tax positions related to its portfolio of REMIC residuals. | ||||||||
- | Results for the comparable fourth quarter and year-ended 2010 periods included a non-cash, GAAP accounting charge of $841.5 million related to establishing a valuation allowance against substantially all of the company’s net deferred tax asset as well as a pre-tax loss from the change in fair value of derivatives and other financial instruments of $237.7 million for the quarter and $770.4 million for the year. |
-
The mortgage insurance provision for losses was
$333.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2011, compared to$426.3 million in the prior-year period. Mortgage insurance loss reserves were approximately$3.2 billion as ofDecember 31, 2011 , which was essentially flat to the third quarter of 2011, and down from$3.5 billion as ofDecember 31, 2010 . First-lien reserves were$26,007 per primary default as ofDecember 31, 2011 , compared to$25,346 as ofSeptember 30, 2011 , and$23,374 a year ago. -
The total number of primary delinquent loans increased slightly in the
fourth quarter compared to the third quarter of 2011, and decreased by
12 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2010. As the company
disclosed last week, the total number of primary delinquencies
declined 1 percent from
December 2011 toJanuary 2012 . -
Mortgage insurance claims paid were
$291.6 million ($254.7 million excluding the impact from first-lien terminations), compared to$392.9 million a year ago. For the full-year 2011, total mortgage insurance claims paid were$1.5 billion , compared to$1.3 billion for the year-endedDecember 31, 2010 . The company continues to expect mortgage insurance claims paid of approximately$1.3 billion for the full-year 2012. -
Radian Asset Assurance Inc. continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty with cash infusions over time.
- | As of December 31, 2011, Radian Asset had approximately $1.0 billion in statutory surplus with an additional $1.2 billion in claims-paying resources. | ||||||||
- | Radian Asset is expected to pay an ordinary dividend of approximately $50 million to Radian Guaranty in 2012. |
RECENT EVENT
-
As previously disclosed, on
January 24, 2012 , Radian Asset entered into a three-part transaction with subsidiaries ofAssured Guaranty Ltd. that included the commutation of a$13.8 billion portfolio reinsured by Radian Asset; the ceding of$1.8 billion of public finance business; and an agreement to sellMunicipal and Infrastructure Assurance Corporation for$91 million , subject to regulatory approval. The transaction is expected to positively impact Radian Asset’s, and thus the primary mortgage insurance subsidiary Radian Guaranty’s, statutory capital in the first quarter of 2012 by$100 million .
CONFERENCE CALL
The company will discuss each of these items in its conference call
today,
A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available approximately two and a half hours after the call ends for a period of two weeks, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: (800) 475-6701 inside the U.S., or (320) 365-3844 for international callers, passcode 232387.
In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's website under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.radian.biz/page?name=QuarterlyResults.
ABOUT RADIAN
FINANCIAL RESULTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONTENTS (Unaudited)
For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/page?name=FinancialReportsCorporate.
Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income |
Exhibit B: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
Exhibit C: Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2011 |
Exhibit D: Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2010 |
Exhibit E: Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2011 |
Exhibit F: Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2010 |
Exhibit G: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information |
Exhibit H: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information |
Exhibit I: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
New Insurance Written |
Exhibit J: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Insurance in Force and Risk in Force |
Exhibit K: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Risk in Force by FICO, LTV and Policy Year |
Exhibit L: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Primary, Pool and other Risk in Force |
Exhibit M: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Claims, Reserves and Reserve Per Default |
Exhibit N: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Default Statistics |
Exhibit O: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Net Premiums Written and Earned, Captives and Persistency |
Exhibit P: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information |
Modified Pool |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit A |
||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended |
Year Ended |
|||||||||||||||
(In thousands except per-share data) | 2011 | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 193,433 | $ | 201,672 | $ | 707,247 | $ | 691,881 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 184,413 | $ | 220,082 | $ | 756,025 | $ | 825,733 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 38,694 | 38,229 | 163,520 | 178,760 | ||||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on investments | 38,866 | (69,524 | ) | 202,177 | 139,944 | |||||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (1,171 | ) | — | (1,202 | ) | (90 | ) | |||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 69,769 | (185,935 | ) | 628,395 | (558,712 | ) | ||||||||||
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | 32,429 | (51,799 | ) | 193,329 | (211,681 | ) | ||||||||||
Gain on sale of affiliate | — | — | — | 34,815 | ||||||||||||
Other income | 1,551 | 3,042 | 5,599 | 8,696 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 364,551 | (45,905 | ) | 1,947,843 | 417,465 | |||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 355,984 | 415,809 | 1,296,521 | 1,739,244 | ||||||||||||
Change in reserve for premium deficiency | (665 | ) | (14,664 | ) | (7,092 | ) | (14,621 | ) | ||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 12,796 | 10,750 | 52,763 | 53,469 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 38,397 | 48,669 | 175,810 | 191,942 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 14,197 | 13,226 | 61,394 | 41,777 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 420,709 | 473,790 | 1,579,396 | 2,011,811 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | — | — | 65 | 14,668 | ||||||||||||
Pretax income (loss) | (56,158 | ) | (519,695 | ) | 368,512 | (1,579,678 | ) | |||||||||
Income tax provision | 65,381 | 612,922 | 66,362 | 226,189 | ||||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | (121,539 | ) | $ | (1,132,617 | ) | $ | 302,150 | $ | (1,805,867 | ) | |||||
Diluted net income (loss) per share (1) | $ | (0.92 | ) | $ | (8.55 | ) | $ | 2.26 | $ | (15.74 | ) | |||||
(1) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) | |||||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding | 132,369 | 82,434 | 132,372 | 82,505 | |||||||
Increase in weighted average shares - common stock offering | — | 50,000 | — | 32,192 | |||||||
Increase in weighted average shares-common stock equivalents-diluted basis | — | — | 1,491 | — | |||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding | 132,369 | 132,434 | 133,863 | 114,697 | |||||||
For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian's (RDN) website.
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets | ||||||||
Exhibit B | ||||||||
|
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||
(In thousands, except per-share data) | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||
Assets: | ||||||||
Cash and investments | $ | 5,846,168 | $ | 6,680,630 | ||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 139,906 | 148,326 | ||||||
Deferred income taxes, net | 15,975 | 27,531 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverables | 157,985 | 244,894 | ||||||
Derivative assets | 17,212 | 26,212 | ||||||
Other assets | 479,519 | 493,294 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 6,656,765 | $ | 7,620,887 | ||||
Liabilities and stockholders' equity: | ||||||||
Unearned premiums | $ | 637,372 | $ | 686,364 | ||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,310,902 | 3,596,735 | ||||||
Reserve for premium deficiency | 3,644 | 10,736 | ||||||
Long-term debt | 818,584 | 964,788 | ||||||
VIE debt | 228,240 | 520,114 | ||||||
Derivative liabilities | 126,006 | 723,579 | ||||||
Other liabilities | 349,726 | 258,791 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 5,474,474 | 6,761,107 | ||||||
Common stock | 151 | 150 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 1,074,513 | 1,071,080 | ||||||
Retained earnings (deficit) | 96,227 | (204,926 | ) | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) | 11,400 | (6,524 | ) | |||||
Total common stockholders’ equity | 1,182,291 | 859,780 | ||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | $ | 6,656,765 | $ | 7,620,887 | ||||
Book value per share | $ | 8.88 | $ | 6.46 | ||||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||
Quarter Ended December 31, 2011 | ||||||||||||
Exhibit C | ||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | |||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Total | |||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 194,009 | $ | (576 | ) | $ | 193,433 | |||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | 167,000 | 17,413 | 184,413 | |||||||||
Net investment income | 20,350 | 18,344 | 38,694 | |||||||||
Net gains on investments | 27,755 | 11,111 | 38,866 | |||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (1,171 | ) | — | (1,171 | ) | |||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | (696 | ) | 70,465 | 69,769 | ||||||||
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | (457 | ) | 32,886 | 32,429 | ||||||||
Other income | 1,488 | 63 | 1,551 | |||||||||
Total revenues | 214,269 | 150,282 | 364,551 | |||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 333,293 | 22,691 | 355,984 | |||||||||
Change in reserve for premium deficiency | (665 | ) | — | (665 | ) | |||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 9,400 | 3,396 | 12,796 | |||||||||
Other operating expenses | 28,093 | 10,304 | 38,397 | |||||||||
Interest expense | 1,944 | 12,253 | 14,197 | |||||||||
Total expenses | 372,065 | 48,644 | 420,709 | |||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (157,796 | ) | 101,638 | (56,158 | ) | |||||||
Income tax provision (benefit) | 110,315 | (44,934 | ) | 65,381 | ||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (268,111 | ) | $ | 146,572 | $ | (121,539 | ) | ||||
Cash and investments | $ | 3,210,279 | $ | 2,635,889 | $ | 5,846,168 | ||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 52,094 | 87,812 | 139,906 | |||||||||
Total assets | 3,470,103 | 3,186,662 | 6,656,765 | |||||||||
Unearned premiums | 233,446 | 403,926 | 637,372 | |||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,247,900 | 63,002 | 3,310,902 | |||||||||
VIE Debt | 9,450 | 218,790 | 228,240 | |||||||||
Derivative liabilities | — | 126,006 | 126,006 | |||||||||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended December 31, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit D |
||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 200,549 | $ | 1,123 | $ | — | $ | 201,672 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | 200,569 | 19,513 | — | 220,082 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income | 22,469 | 15,760 | — | 38,229 | ||||||||||||
Net losses on investments | (41,544 | ) | (27,980 | ) | — | (69,524 | ) | |||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 26,642 | (212,577 | ) | — | (185,935 | ) | ||||||||||
Net losses on other financial instruments | (3,373 | ) | (48,426 | ) | — | (51,799 | ) | |||||||||
Gain on sale of affiliate | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||
Other income | 1,916 | 65 | 1,061 | 3,042 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 206,679 | (253,645 | ) | 1,061 | (45,905 | ) | ||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 426,288 | (10,479 | ) | — | 415,809 | |||||||||||
Change in reserve for premium deficiency | (14,664 | ) | — | — | (14,664 | ) | ||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 7,041 | 3,709 | — | 10,750 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 37,610 | 11,009 | 50 | 48,669 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 4,748 | 8,478 | — | 13,226 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 461,023 | 12,717 | 50 | 473,790 | ||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (254,344 | ) | (266,362 | ) | 1,011 | (519,695 | ) | |||||||||
Income tax provision | 424,782 | 187,787 | 353 | 612,922 | ||||||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (679,126 | ) | $ | (454,149 | ) | $ | 658 | $ | (1,132,617 | ) | |||||
Cash and investments | $ | 4,037,578 | $ | 2,643,052 | $ | — | $ | 6,680,630 | ||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 41,939 | 106,387 | — | 148,326 | ||||||||||||
Total assets | 4,801,953 | 2,818,934 | — | 7,620,887 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums | 197,260 | 489,104 | — | 686,364 | ||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | 3,524,971 | 71,764 | — | 3,596,735 | ||||||||||||
VIE Debt | 141,006 | 379,108 | — | 520,114 | ||||||||||||
Derivative liabilities | — | 723,579 | — | 723,579 | ||||||||||||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||
Year Ended December 31, 2011 | ||||||||||||
Exhibit E | ||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | |||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Total | |||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 717,264 | $ | (10,017 | ) | $ | 707,247 | |||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | 680,895 | 75,130 | 756,025 | |||||||||
Net investment income | 93,678 | 69,842 | 163,520 | |||||||||
Net gains on investments | 126,205 | 75,972 | 202,177 | |||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (1,202 | ) | — | (1,202 | ) | |||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | (632 | ) | 629,027 | 628,395 | ||||||||
Net gains on other financial instruments | 3,864 | 189,465 | 193,329 | |||||||||
Other income | 5,369 | 230 | 5,599 | |||||||||
Total revenues | 908,177 | 1,039,666 | 1,947,843 | |||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 1,293,857 | 2,664 | 1,296,521 | |||||||||
Change in reserve for premium deficiency | (7,092 | ) | — | (7,092 | ) | |||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 36,051 | 16,712 | 52,763 | |||||||||
Other operating expenses | 132,225 | 43,585 | 175,810 | |||||||||
Interest expense | 13,894 | 47,500 | 61,394 | |||||||||
Total expenses | 1,468,935 | 110,461 | 1,579,396 | |||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | — | 65 | 65 | |||||||||
Pretax income (loss) | (560,758 | ) | 929,270 | 368,512 | ||||||||
Income tax provision (benefit) | 83,157 | (16,795 | ) | 66,362 | ||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | (643,915 | ) | $ | 946,065 | $ | 302,150 | |||||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Segment Information | ||||||||||||||||
Year Ended December 31, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit F | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage | Financial | Financial | ||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | Insurance | Guaranty | Services | Total | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written - insurance | $ | 699,909 | $ | (8,028 | ) | $ | — | $ | 691,881 | |||||||
Net premiums earned - insurance | $ | 739,631 | $ | 86,102 | $ | — | $ | 825,733 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 104,030 | 74,730 | — | 178,760 | ||||||||||||
Net gains on investments | 84,004 | 55,940 | — | 139,944 | ||||||||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | (90 | ) | — | — | (90 | ) | ||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | 32,381 | (591,093 | ) | — | (558,712 | ) | ||||||||||
Net losses on other financial instruments | (48,137 | ) | (163,544 | ) | — | (211,681 | ) | |||||||||
Gain on sale of affiliate | — | — | 34,815 | 34,815 | ||||||||||||
Other income | 7,208 | 364 | 1,124 | 8,696 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 919,027 | (537,501 | ) | 35,939 | 417,465 | |||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Provision for losses | 1,730,801 | 8,443 | — | 1,739,244 | ||||||||||||
Change in reserve for premium deficiency | (14,621 | ) | — | — | (14,621 | ) | ||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 36,102 | 17,367 | — | 53,469 | ||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 141,172 | 50,520 | 250 | 191,942 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 11,668 | 30,109 | — | 41,777 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 1,905,122 | 106,439 | 250 | 2,011,811 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income of affiliates | — | 78 | 14,590 | 14,668 | ||||||||||||
Pretax (loss) income | (986,095 | ) | (643,862 | ) | 50,279 | (1,579,678 | ) | |||||||||
Income tax provision | 157,082 | 51,509 | 17,598 | 226,189 | ||||||||||||
Net (loss) income | $ | (1,143,177 | ) | $ | (695,371 | ) | $ | 32,681 | $ | (1,805,867 | ) |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit G | ||||||||||||||||
|
Quarter Ended |
Year Ended |
||||||||||||||
(In thousands) | 2011 | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned: | ||||||||||||||||
Public finance direct | $ | 11,673 | $ | 13,898 | $ | 40,797 | $ | 54,734 | ||||||||
Public finance reinsurance | 4,638 | 4,362 | 25,942 | 25,297 | ||||||||||||
Structured direct | 312 | 443 | 2,093 | 2,498 | ||||||||||||
Structured reinsurance | 795 | 815 | 3,434 | 3,544 | ||||||||||||
Trade credit reinsurance | (5 | ) | (5 | ) | 35 | 46 | ||||||||||
Net Premiums Earned - insurance | 17,413 | 19,513 | 72,301 | 86,119 | ||||||||||||
Impact of commutations | — | — | 2,829 | (17 | ) | |||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | $ | 17,413 | $ | 19,513 | $ | 75,130 | $ | 86,102 | ||||||||
Refundings included in earned premium | $ | 8,459 | $ | 7,442 | $ | 27,187 | $ | 35,782 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - derivatives (1) | $ | 10,054 | $ | 11,259 | $ | 41,753 | $ | 46,431 | ||||||||
Claims paid: | ||||||||||||||||
Trade credit reinsurance | $ | 36 | $ | 13 | $ | 379 | $ | 1,091 | ||||||||
Financial Guaranty | 5,356 | 6,536 | 11,048 | 64,032 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 5,392 | $ | 6,549 | $ | 11,427 | $ | 65,123 |
(1) Included in change in fair value of derivative instruments.
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | |||||||
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information | |||||||
Exhibit H | |||||||
|
December 31 | December 31 | |||||
($ in thousands, except ratios) | 2011 | 2010 | |||||
Statutory Information: | |||||||
Capital and surplus | $ | 974,874 | $ | 1,049,664 | |||
Contingency reserve | 421,406 | 392,589 | |||||
Qualified statutory capital | 1,396,280 | 1,442,253 | |||||
Unearned premium reserve | 448,669 | 517,516 | |||||
Loss and loss expense reserve | 161,287 | 70,129 | |||||
Total statutory policyholders' reserves | 2,006,236 | 2,029,898 | |||||
Present value of installment premiums | 148,641 | 202,386 | |||||
Soft capital facilities | — | — | |||||
Total statutory claims paying resources | $ | 2,154,877 | $ | 2,232,284 | |||
Net debt service outstanding | $ | 88,202,630 | $ | 101,168,759 | |||
Capital leverage ratio (1) | 63 | 70 | |||||
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | 41 | 45 | |||||
Net par outstanding by product: | |||||||
Public finance direct | $ | 13,838,427 | $ | 15,727,252 | |||
Public finance reinsurance | 19,097,057 | 21,907,290 | |||||
Structured direct | 34,760,869 | 39,315,801 | |||||
Structured reinsurance | 1,492,859 | 1,805,295 | |||||
Total (3) | $ | 69,189,212 | $ | 78,755,638 |
(1) |
The capital leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital. |
|
(2) |
The claims paying leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by total statutory claims paying resources. |
|
(3) |
Included in public finance net par outstanding is $1.4 billion and $1.9 billion at December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, respectively, for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bondholders. |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Exhibit I | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2011 | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Primary new insurance written |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 6,532 | 99.9 | % | $ | 3,779 | 99.9 | % | $ | 15,499 | 99.9 | % | $ | 11,553 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Alt-A | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 3 | 0.1 | % | 2 | 0.1 | % | 9 | 0.1 | % | 5 | — | |||||||||||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 6,537 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,781 | 100.0 | % | $ | 15,510 | 100.0 | % | $ | 11,558 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Total primary new insurance written by FICO score |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 5,051 | 77.3 | % | $ | 3,112 | 82.3 | % | $ | 12,142 | 78.3 | % | $ | 9,294 | 80.4 | % | ||||||||||||
680-739 | 1,364 | 20.9 | % | 669 | 17.7 | % | 3,192 | 20.6 | % | 2,261 | 19.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
620-679 | 121 | 1.8 | % | — | — | 175 | 1.1 | % | 3 | — | ||||||||||||||||||
<=619 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 6,537 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,781 | 100.0 | % | $ | 15,510 | 100.0 | % | $ | 11,558 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
Percentage of primary new insurance written |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Refinances | 46 | % | 58 | % | 39 | % | 42 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
LTV | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 2.3 | % | 0.7 | % | 1.9 | % | 0.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 37.7 | % | 29.9 | % | 36.3 | % | 29.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
ARMS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less than 5 years | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 years and longer | 3.2 | % | 4.1 | % | 4.8 | % | 5.3 | % |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||
Exhibit J | ||||||||||||||
|
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||||||||
2011 | 2010 | |||||||||||||
($ in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||
Primary insurance in force |
||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 113,438 | 89.9 | % | $ | 115,532 | 89.2 | % | ||||||
Structured | 12,747 | 10.1 | % | 14,034 | 10.8 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 126,185 | 100.0 | % | $ | 129,566 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Prime | $ | 106,407 | 84.3 | % | $ | 106,466 | 82.2 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 12,344 | 9.8 | % | 14,542 | 11.2 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 7,434 | 5.9 | % | 8,558 | 6.6 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 126,185 | 100.0 | % | $ | 129,566 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Primary risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Flow | $ | 27,937 | 91.0 | % | $ | 28,397 | 90.3 | % | ||||||
Structured | 2,755 | 9.0 | % | 3,064 | 9.7 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 30,692 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,461 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 24,401 | 87.3 | % | $ | 24,213 | 85.3 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 2,200 | 7.9 | % | 2,618 | 9.2 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 1,336 | 4.8 | % | 1,566 | 5.5 | % | ||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 27,937 | 100.0 | % | $ | 28,397 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,610 | 58.4 | % | $ | 1,788 | 58.4 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 625 | 22.7 | % | 702 | 22.9 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 520 | 18.9 | % | 574 | 18.7 | % | ||||||||
Total Structured | $ | 2,755 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,064 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 26,011 | 84.8 | % | $ | 26,001 | 82.6 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 2,825 | 9.2 | % | 3,320 | 10.6 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 1,856 | 6.0 | % | 2,140 | 6.8 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 30,692 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,461 | 100.0 | % |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||
Exhibit K | ||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||
2011 | 2010 | |||||||||||||
($ in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||
Total primary risk in force by FICO score | ||||||||||||||
Flow | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 12,242 | 43.8 | % | $ | 11,039 | 38.9 | % | ||||||
680-739 | 9,205 | 33.0 | % | 9,849 | 34.7 | % | ||||||||
620-679 | 5,503 | 19.7 | % | 6,359 | 22.4 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 987 | 3.5 | % | 1,150 | 4.0 | % | ||||||||
Total Flow | $ | 27,937 | 100.0 | % | $ | 28,397 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Structured | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 732 | 26.6 | % | $ | 825 | 26.9 | % | ||||||
680-739 | 802 | 29.1 | % | 892 | 29.1 | % | ||||||||
620-679 | 738 | 26.8 | % | 815 | 26.6 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 483 | 17.5 | % | 532 | 17.4 | % | ||||||||
Total Structured | $ | 2,755 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,064 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||
>=740 | $ | 12,974 | 42.3 | % | $ | 11,864 | 37.7 | % | ||||||
680-739 | 10,007 | 32.6 | % | 10,741 | 34.1 | % | ||||||||
620-679 | 6,241 | 20.3 | % | 7,174 | 22.8 | % | ||||||||
<=619 | 1,470 | 4.8 | % | 1,682 | 5.4 | % | ||||||||
Total Primary | $ | 30,692 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,461 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total primary risk in force by LTV |
||||||||||||||
85.00% and below | $ | 2,772 | 9.0 | % | $ | 2,816 | 8.9 | % | ||||||
85.01% to 90.00% | 11,861 | 38.6 | % | 12,102 | 38.5 | % | ||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 10,735 | 35.0 | % | 10,506 | 33.4 | % | ||||||||
95.01% and above | 5,324 | 17.4 | % | 6,037 | 19.2 | % | ||||||||
Total | $ | 30,692 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,461 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total primary risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 6,887 | 22.4 | % | $ | 8,145 | 25.9 | % | ||||||
2006 | 3,172 | 10.3 | % | 3,690 | 11.7 | % | ||||||||
2007 | 6,960 | 22.7 | % | 8,072 | 25.7 | % | ||||||||
2008 | 5,206 | 17.0 | % | 5,935 | 18.9 | % | ||||||||
2009 | 2,656 | 8.7 | % | 3,099 | 9.8 | % | ||||||||
2010 | 2,244 | 7.3 | % | 2,520 | 8.0 | % | ||||||||
2011 | 3,567 | 11.6 | % | — | — | |||||||||
Total | $ | 30,692 | 100.0 | % | $ | 31,461 | 100.0 | % |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||
Exhibit L | ||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||
|
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||
Percentage of primary risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Refinances | 32 | % | 31 | % | ||||||||||
LTV |
||||||||||||||
95.01% and above | 17 | % | 19 | % | ||||||||||
90.01% to 95.00% | 35 | % | 33 | % | ||||||||||
ARMS | ||||||||||||||
Less than 5 years | 5 | % | 6 | % | ||||||||||
5 years and longer | 7 | % | 7 | % | ||||||||||
Pool risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,601 | 77.4 | % | $ | 1,828 | 74.5 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 122 | 5.9 | % |
|
165 | 6.7 | % | |||||||
A minus and below | 345 | 16.7 | % |
|
460 | 18.8 | % | |||||||
Total | $ | 2,068 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,453 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Total pool risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 1,852 | 89.6 | % | $ | 2,038 | 83.1 | % | ||||||
2006 |
92 | 4.4 | % | 179 | 7.3 | % | ||||||||
2007 |
103 | 5.0 | % | 190 | 7.7 | % | ||||||||
2008 | 21 | 1.0 | % | 46 | 1.9 | % | ||||||||
Total pool risk in force | $ | 2,068 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,453 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Other risk in force |
||||||||||||||
Second-lien | ||||||||||||||
1st loss | $ | 102 | $ | 114 | ||||||||||
2nd loss | 29 | 79 | ||||||||||||
NIMS | 19 | 136 | ||||||||||||
International | ||||||||||||||
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | 64 | 126 | ||||||||||||
Credit default swaps | — | — | ||||||||||||
Total other risk in force | $ | 214 | $ | 455 | ||||||||||
Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only | 21.5 | 16.8 | ||||||||||||
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit M | ||||||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | Year Ended | |||||||||||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | 2011 | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||
Net claims paid | ||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 152,202 | $ | 226,106 | $ | 796,940 | $ | 691,922 | ||||||||
Alt-A | 36,934 | 81,681 | 257,448 | 308,113 | ||||||||||||
A minus and below | 30,035 | 50,593 | 164,429 | 180,078 | ||||||||||||
Total primary claims paid | 219,171 | 358,380 | 1,218,817 | 1,180,113 | ||||||||||||
Pool | 33,140 | 30,882 | 178,610 | 147,667 | ||||||||||||
Second-lien and other | 2,370 | 3,644 | 11,331 | 20,630 | ||||||||||||
Subtotal | 254,681 | 392,906 | 1,408,758 | $ | 1,348,410 | |||||||||||
Impact of first-lien terminations | 36,903 | — | 75,101 | 223,099 | ||||||||||||
Impact of captive terminations | — | (323,716 | ) | (1,166 | ) | (324,365 | ) | |||||||||
Impact of second-lien terminations | — | — | 16,550 | 10,834 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 291,584 | $ | 69,190 | $ | 1,499,243 | $ | 1,257,978 | ||||||||
Average claim paid (1) | ||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 49.9 | $ | 47.0 | $ | 49.6 | $ | 44.6 | ||||||||
Alt-A | 58.6 | 59.8 | 60.7 | 57.5 | ||||||||||||
A minus and below | 40.4 | 39.4 | 40.2 | 37.6 | ||||||||||||
Total primary average claims paid | 49.6 | 48.0 | 50.0 | 46.0 | ||||||||||||
Pool | 72.2 | 68.5 | 76.2 | 71.7 | ||||||||||||
Second-lien and other | 19.9 | 32.8 | 25.8 | 35.3 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 50.9 | $ | 49.0 | $ | 51.9 | $ | 47.7 | ||||||||
Average primary claim paid (2) (3) | $ | 52.4 | $ | 51.7 | $ | 54.6 | $ | 52.5 | ||||||||
Average total claim paid (2) (3) | $ | 53.4 | $ | 52.4 | $ | 56.0 | $ | 53.6 | ||||||||
Loss ratio - GAAP basis | 198.6 | % | 212.5 | % | 189.8 | % | 234.0 | % | ||||||||
Expense ratio - GAAP basis | 22.3 | % | 22.3 | % | 24.7 | % | 24.0 | % | ||||||||
220.9 | % | 234.8 | % | 214.5 | % | 258.0 | % | |||||||||
Reserve for losses by category | ||||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 1,748,412 | $ | 1,607,741 | ||||||||||||
Alt-A | 612,423 | 687,960 | ||||||||||||||
A minus and below | 370,806 | 413,137 | ||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable (4) | 151,569 | 223,254 | ||||||||||||||
Total primary reserves | 2,883,210 | 2,932,092 | ||||||||||||||
Pool insurance | 353,583 | 566,565 | ||||||||||||||
Total 1st lien reserves | 3,236,793 | 3,498,657 | ||||||||||||||
Second lien | 11,070 | 26,161 | ||||||||||||||
Other | 37 | 153 | ||||||||||||||
Total reserves | $ | 3,247,900 | $ | 3,524,971 | ||||||||||||
1st lien reserve per default (5) | ||||||||||||||||
Primary reserve per primary default | $ | 26,007 | $ | 23,374 | ||||||||||||
Pool reserve per pool default (6) | 16,305 | 17,456 | ||||||||||||||
Total 1st lien reserve per default | 24,420 | 22,158 |
(1) |
Calculated net of reinsurance recoveries and without giving effect to the impact of first-lien, second-lien and captive terminations. |
|
(2) |
Calculated without giving effect to the impact of terminations of captive reinsurance and first- and second-lien transactions. |
|
(3) |
Before reinsurance recoveries. |
|
(4) |
Represents ceded losses on captive transactions and Smart Home. |
|
(5) |
Calculated as total reserves divided by total defaults. |
|
(6) |
If calculated before giving effect to deductibles and stop losses in pool transactions, the pool reserve per default at December 31, 2011, and December 31, 2010, would be $25,402 and $28,265, respectively. |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||
Exhibit N | ||||||
December 31 | December 31 | |||||
2011 | 2010 | |||||
Default Statistics |
||||||
Primary Insurance: | ||||||
Flow | ||||||
Prime |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 569,190 | 584,213 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 65,238 | 71,196 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 11.46 | % | 12.19 | % | ||
Alt-A |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 44,355 | 51,765 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 14,481 | 17,934 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 32.65 | % | 34.65 | % | ||
A minus and below |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 40,884 | 47,044 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 13,560 | 16,401 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 33.17 | % | 34.86 | % | ||
Total Flow | ||||||
Number of insured loans | 654,429 | 683,022 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 93,279 | 105,531 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 14.25 | % | 15.45 | % | ||
Structured | ||||||
Prime |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 41,248 | 42,131 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 6,308 | 6,735 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 15.29 | % | 15.99 | % | ||
Alt-A |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 18,484 | 20,234 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 5,563 | 6,635 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 30.10 | % | 32.79 | % | ||
A minus and below |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 15,477 | 16,716 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 5,711 | 6,569 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 36.90 | % | 39.30 | % | ||
Total Structured | ||||||
Number of insured loans | 75,209 | 79,081 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 17,582 | 19,939 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 23.38 | % | 25.21 | % | ||
Total Primary Insurance | ||||||
Prime |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 610,438 | 626,344 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 71,546 | 77,931 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 11.72 | % | 12.44 | % | ||
Alt-A |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 62,839 | 71,999 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 20,044 | 24,569 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 31.90 | % | 34.12 | % | ||
A minus and below |
||||||
Number of insured loans | 56,361 | 63,760 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 19,271 | 22,970 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 34.19 | % | 36.03 | % | ||
Total Primary | ||||||
Number of insured loans | 729,638 | 762,103 | ||||
Number of loans in default | 110,861 | 125,470 | ||||
Percentage of loans in default | 15.19 | % | 16.46 | % | ||
Pool insurance | ||||||
Number of loans in default | 21,685 | 32,456 |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||||
Exhibit O | ||||||||||||||||
|
Quarter Ended |
Year Ended |
||||||||||||||
2011 | 2010 | 2011 | 2010 | |||||||||||||
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) |
||||||||||||||||
Primary and Pool Insurance | $ | 193,670 | $ | 199,610 | $ | 715,125 | $ | 698,078 | ||||||||
Second-lien (1) | 537 | 647 | 2,314 | 1,535 | ||||||||||||
International | (198 | ) | 292 | (175 | ) | 296 | ||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Written - Insurance | $ | 194,009 | $ | 200,549 | $ | 717,264 | $ | 699,909 | ||||||||
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) |
||||||||||||||||
Primary and Pool Insurance | $ | 166,233 | $ | 198,196 | $ | 673,869 | $ | 727,484 | ||||||||
Second-lien (1) | 537 | 646 | 2,314 | 2,501 | ||||||||||||
International | 230 | 1,727 | 4,712 | 9,646 | ||||||||||||
Total Net Premiums Earned - Insurance | $ | 167,000 | $ | 200,569 | $ | 680,895 | $ | 739,631 | ||||||||
Net premiums earned - derivatives (In thousands) (2) | $ | — | $ | 276 | $ | — | $ | 692 | ||||||||
1st Lien Captives |
||||||||||||||||
Premiums ceded to captives (In thousands) | $ | 6,895 | $ | 8,834 | $ | 28,816 | $ | 83,384 | ||||||||
% of total premiums | 3.9 | % | 4.2 | % | 4.1 | % | 10.2 | % | ||||||||
NIW subject to captives (In thousands) | — | — | — | 129 | ||||||||||||
% of primary NIW | — | — | — | <1% | ||||||||||||
IIF included in captives (3) | 8.9 | % | 10.6 | % | ||||||||||||
RIF included in captives (3) | 8.8 | % | 10.4 | % | ||||||||||||
Persistency (twelve months ended December 31) | 85.4 | % | 81.8 | % |
(1) |
Reflects the impact of second-lien terminations. |
|
(2) |
Included in change in fair value of derivative instruments. |
|
(3) |
Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information | ||||||||||||||
Modified Pool (1) | ||||||||||||||
Exhibit P | ||||||||||||||
|
December 31 | December 31 | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||
$ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||
Modified pool risk in force by policy year |
||||||||||||||
2005 and prior | $ | 194 | 71.9 | % | $ | 186 | 64.4 | % | ||||||
2006 |
31 | 11.5 | % | 41 | 14.2 | % | ||||||||
2007 | 39 | 14.4 | % | 55 | 19.0 | % | ||||||||
2008 | 6 | 2.2 | % | 7 | 2.4 | % | ||||||||
Total | $ | 270 | 100.0 | % | $ | 289 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
|
||||||||||||||
Modified pool risk in force by product |
||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 80 | 29.6 | % | $ | 74 | 25.6 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 172 | 63.7 | % | 197 | 68.2 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 18 | 6.7 | % | 18 | 6.2 | % | ||||||||
Total | $ | 270 | 100.0 | % | $ | 289 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Modified pool insurance in force by product |
||||||||||||||
Prime | $ | 920 | 31.2 | % | $ | 671 | 22.2 | % | ||||||
Alt-A | 1,890 | 64.0 | % | 2,216 | 73.1 | % | ||||||||
A minus and below | 143 | 4.8 | % | 143 | 4.7 | % | ||||||||
Total | $ | 2,953 | 100.0 | % | $ | 3,030 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
Reserve for losses - modified pool (in thousands) | $ | 63,582 | $ | 87,218 | ||||||||||
Default Statistics: |
||||||||||||||
Modified pool: | ||||||||||||||
Total modified pool |
||||||||||||||
Number of insured loans | 17,468 | 15,487 | ||||||||||||
Number of loans in default | 3,461 | 4,009 | ||||||||||||
Percentage of loans in default | 19.81 | % | 25.89 | % |
(1) Included in primary insurance amounts.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
All statements in this press release that address events, developments
or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the
Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 and
Losses in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses have reduced Radian Guaranty's statutory surplus and increased Radian Guaranty's risk-to-capital ratio; additional losses in these businesses, without a corresponding increase in new capital or capital relief, would further negatively impact this ratio, which could limit Radian Guaranty's ability to write new insurance and increase restrictions and requirements placed on Radian Guaranty.
We and our insurance subsidiaries are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation by the insurance departments in the various states where our insurance subsidiaries are licensed to transact business. These regulations are principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders rather than for the benefit of investors. Insurance laws vary from state to state, but generally grant broad supervisory powers to state agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business, including the power to revoke or restrict an insurance company's ability to write new business.
Under state insurance regulations,
If Radian Guaranty is not in compliance with the applicable Statutory RBC Requirement in any RBC State, it would be prohibited from writing new business in that state until it is back in compliance or it receives a waiver of the requirement from the applicable state insurance regulator, as discussed in more detail below. In those states that do not have a Statutory RBC Requirement, it is not clear what actions the applicable state regulators would take if a mortgage insurer fails to meet the Statutory RBC Requirement established by another state. Accordingly, if Radian Guaranty fails to meet the Statutory RBC Requirement in one or more states, it could be required to suspend writing business in some or all of the states in which it does business. In addition, the GSEs and our mortgage lending customers may decide not to conduct new business with Radian Guaranty (or reduce current business levels) or impose restrictions on Radian Guaranty while its risk-to-capital ratio remained at elevated levels. The franchise value of our mortgage insurance business would likely be significantly diminished if Radian Guaranty was prohibited from writing new business or restricted in the amount of new business it could write in one or more states.
As a result of ongoing incurred losses, Radian Guaranty's
risk-to-capital ratio is 21.5 to 1 as of
Radian Guaranty's risk-to-capital position also is dependent on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio. During the third quarter of 2008, we contributed our ownership interest in Radian Asset Assurance to Radian Guaranty. While this reorganization provided Radian Guaranty with substantial regulatory capital and dividends, it also makes the capital adequacy of our mortgage insurance business dependent, to a significant degree, on the performance of our financial guaranty business. If the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio deteriorates materially, including if we are required to establish (or significantly increase) one or more significant statutory reserves on defaulted obligations that we insure, or if we make net commutation payments to terminate insured obligations in excess of the then posted statutory reserves for such obligations, the statutory capital of Radian Guaranty also would be negatively impacted. Any decrease in the capital support from our financial guaranty business would have a negative impact on Radian Guaranty's risk-to-capital position and its ability to remain in compliance with the Statutory RBC Requirements.
We actively manage Radian Guaranty's risk-to-capital position in various
ways, including: (1) through reinsurance arrangements; (2) by seeking
opportunities to reduce our risk exposure through commutations or other
negotiated transactions; (3) by contributing additional capital from
Our ability to continue to reduce Radian Guaranty's risk through
affiliated reinsurance arrangements may be limited. These arrangements
are subject to regulation by state insurance regulators who could decide
to limit, or require the termination of, such arrangements. In addition,
certain of these affiliated reinsurance companies currently are
operating at or near minimum capital levels and have required, and may
continue to require, additional capital contributions from
In order to maximize our financial flexibility, we have applied for
waivers or similar relief for Radian Guaranty in each of the RBC States.
Of the 16
In addition to filing for waivers in the RBC States, we intend to write
new first-lien mortgage insurance business in our wholly-owned
subsidiary, Radian Mortgage Assurance, in any RBC State that does not
permit Radian Guaranty to continue writing insurance while it is out of
compliance with applicable Statutory RBC Requirements. Radian Mortgage
Assurance is a subsidiary of Radian Guaranty and is licensed to write
mortgage insurance in each of the fifty states. We have requests pending
with the GSEs to have Radian Mortgage Assurance approved as an eligible
mortgage insurer for purposes of writing business in any RBC State where
Radian Guaranty is prohibited from writing new mortgage business if it
were to exceed the Statutory RBC Requirement without a waiver or other
similar relief. We are in the process of finalizing the terms of the
approvals with both
In the third quarter of 2011, two longstanding competitors, RMIC and
PMI, ceased writing new mortgage insurance commitments. In
Our existing capital resources may not be sufficient to successfully
manage Radian Guaranty's risk-to-capital ratio. Our ability to use
waivers and Radian Mortgage Assurance to allow Radian Guaranty to
continue to write business with a risk-to-capital position in excess of
the Statutory RBC Requirements is subject to conditions that we may be
unable to satisfy. As a result, even if we are successful in
implementing this strategy, additional capital contributions could be
necessary, which we may not have the ability to provide. Further,
regardless of whether the waivers or Radian Mortgage Assurance are
available to us, we may choose to use our existing capital at
Radian Group’s sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund its obligations.
Dividends from Radian Guaranty and permitted payments to
In light of on-going losses in our mortgage insurance business,
Radian Group’s sources of available liquidity may not be sufficient for
Other risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements including the following:
- changes in general economic and political conditions, including high unemployment rates and continued weakness in the U.S. housing and mortgage credit markets, the U.S. economy reentering a recessionary period, a significant downturn in the global economy, a lack of meaningful liquidity in the capital or credit markets, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence and changes in credit spreads, each of which may be accelerated or intensified by, among other things, further actual or threatened downgrades of U.S. credit ratings;
- changes in the way customers, investors, regulators or legislators perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, in particular in light of developments in the private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty industries in which certain of our former competitors have ceased writing new insurance business and have been placed under supervision or receivership by insurance regulators;
- catastrophic events or economic changes in geographic regions, including governments and municipalities, where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance exposure is more concentrated;
-
our ability to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet
our short- and long-term liquidity needs, including in particular,
repayment of our debt due in
February 2013 and additional capital contributions that may be required to support our mortgage insurance business; - a further reduction in, or prolonged period of depressed levels of, home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards, general reduced housing demand in the U.S., and potential risk retention requirements established under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the "Dodd-Frank Act");
- our ability to maintain an adequate risk-to-capital position and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of ongoing losses in this business and potential further deterioration and losses in our financial guaranty portfolio, including, if necessary, our ability write new mortgage insurance in excess of risk-based capital limitations imposed in certain states;
- our ability to continue to effectively mitigate our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty losses;
- the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio;
- a more rapid than expected decrease in the level of insurance rescissions and claim denials from the current elevated levels which have reduced our paid losses and resulted in a significant reduction in our loss reserves, including a decrease resulting from successful challenges to previously rescinded policies or claim denials, or caused by the GSEs intervening in mortgage insurers' rescission practices or rescission settlement practices;
- the negative impact our insurance rescissions and claim denials may have on our relationships with customers and potential customers, including the potential loss of business and the heightened risk of disputes and litigation;
- the need, in the event that we are unsuccessful in defending our rescissions or denials, to increase our loss reserves for, and reassume risk on, rescinded or denied loans, and to pay additional claims;
- the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;
- any disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies and poor servicer performance;
- adverse changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain products that we formerly offered that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;
- a decrease in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies, which has the effect of reducing our premium income without a corresponding decrease in incurred losses;
- an increase in the risk profile of our existing mortgage insurance portfolio due to the refinancing of existing mortgage loans for only the most qualified borrowers in the current mortgage and housing market;
-
changes in the criteria for assigning credit or similar ratings,
further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings
actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by
the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries
at any time, including in particular, the credit ratings of
Radian Group Inc. ("Radian Group ") and the financial strength ratings assigned toRadian Guaranty Inc. ("Radian Guaranty"); -
heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others
such as the
Federal Housing Administration (the "FHA"), the Veteran's Administration and other private mortgage insurers (in particular, the FHA and those private mortgage insurers that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies, that may have access to greater amounts of capital than we do, or new entrants to the industry that are not burdened by legacy obligations); -
changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or
regulations applicable to,
Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae ") andFreddie Mac , the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to bothFannie Mae andFreddie Mac ; - changes to the current system of housing finance, including the possibility of a new system in which private mortgage insurers are not required or their products are significantly limited in scope;
- the effect of the Dodd-Frank Act on the financial services industry in general, and on our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in particular, including whether and to what extent loans with mortgage insurance are considered "qualified residential mortgages" for purposes of the Dodd-Frank Act securitization provisions or "qualified mortgages" for purposes of the ability to repay provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act and potential obligations to post collateral on our existing insured derivatives portfolio;
- the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, tax, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted, including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing, or the possibility of additional, lawsuits or investigations; and (ii) legislative and regulatory changes (a) impacting the demand for private mortgage insurance, (b) limiting or restricting our use of (or increasing requirements for) additional capital and the products we may offer, (c) affecting the form in which we execute credit protection, or (d) impacting our existing financial guaranty portfolio;
-
the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated
with
IRS tax audits or due to changes in interpretations of applicable tax laws, regulations and policies; - the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or premium deficiencies for our mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative instruments in determining gains and losses on these instruments;
- volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities carried at fair value, including our derivative instruments, and our need to reevaluate the possibility of a premium deficiency in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;
- our ability to realize the tax benefits associated with our gross deferred tax assets, which will depend on our ability to generate sufficient sustainable taxable income in future periods;
-
changes in accounting principles, rules and guidance, or their
interpretation, from the
Securities and Exchange Commission or theFinancial Accounting Standards Board ; and - legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through our tax- and expense-sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries.
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as
certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk
Factors detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended
Source:
Radian Group Inc.
Emily Riley, 215-231-1035
emily.riley@radian.com